New Delhi, Apr 25 (BNP): As large parts of the country continue to reel under intense heatwave conditions, there are encouraging indications of an early onset of the southwest monsoon this year. According to projections and global weather models, the monsoon is likely to reach India’s southern coast, particularly Kerala, between May 27 and 29, offering much-needed relief from soaring temperatures.
The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has warned that heatwave conditions may persist in the coming days, with temperatures across several northern, central, and eastern regions hovering between 43°C and 44°C. However, forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate a favourable shift in weather patterns, suggesting an early advancement of the monsoon system.
Early Signals from Andaman Region
Meteorological projections suggest that the monsoon could first reach the Andaman and Nicobar Islands between May 18 and 25. Thereafter, moisture-laden winds are expected to intensify over the Arabian Sea, triggering rainfall across southern states, including parts of Tamil Nadu, by the last week of May.
Favourable Conditions Strengthen Outlook
Experts note that strengthening westerly winds and easing concerns over El Niño are contributing to a more optimistic monsoon outlook. While precise onset dates remain subject to further monitoring, early indicators point towards above-normal rainfall in southern regions during the initial phase of the season.
Meteorologists add that clearer projections are expected by early May. Current trends, however, align with last year’s pattern of an early monsoon onset, raising the possibility of another ahead-of-schedule transition into the rainy season.
Relief for Heat-Hit Regions, Boost for Agriculture
An early monsoon is expected to provide significant relief to heat-affected regions, particularly along the southwest coast. Beyond easing temperatures, timely rainfall will play a crucial role in supporting agricultural activities, especially the upcoming sowing season.
Weather assessments also indicate a gradual build-up of rain-bearing clouds along the Kerala coastline towards the end of May, reinforcing expectations of an early onset. Authorities and citizens are advised to stay updated with official forecasts as the monsoon system progresses.
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